2007 Inflation: 2.8%
Forecast for 2008: 3.02%
Forecast for June. 2008 - May 2009: 2.33%
Forecast for 2008: 3.02%
Forecast for June. 2008 - May 2009: 2.33%
Inflation Forecast
SignalTrend
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1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
| 2% |
| 12% |
| 10% |
| 8% |
| 6% |
| 4% |
*Inflation and inflation forecasts are for the U. S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for all urban
consumers: All Items less energy.
consumers: All Items less energy.
| Inflation Chart: 1960 - 2006 |
| Year |
| 2.8% 2.5% 3.1% 1.8% 2.5% 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 2.0% 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% |
| 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 |
| 2.9% 2.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 1.8% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% |
| Variance |
| Inflation |
| Year |
Avg. Variance 1959-2006
Avg. Variance 1990-2006
Avg. Variance 2002-2006
Avg. Variance 1990-2006
Avg. Variance 2002-2006
| 0.4% 0.2% 0.76% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 0.4% 1.4% 2.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.1% 4.4% 3.0% 3.4% 0.8% |
| 1.7% 1.1% 1.4% 0.7% 1.1% 2.1% 1.1% 2.0% 2.9% 3.5% 4.1% 7.0% 4.6% 3.6% 3.8% 8.7% 10.0% 5.6% |
| 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 |
| 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 1.9% 3.4% 3.2% 4.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.4% 3.5% 8.2% 11.7% 6.6% 4.8% |
| Variance |
| Inflation |
| 1.6% 1.9% 1.3% 0.2% 1.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.4% 1.3% 0.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.7% |
| 5.1% 7.2% 9.8% 11.9% 9.9% 7.2% 3.6% 4.8% 3.8% 4.2% 3.2% 4.4% 5.0% 4.0% 4.4% 4.2% 2.6% 3.3% |
| 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 |
| 6.7% 9.1% 11.1% 11.7% 8.5% 4.2% 4.5% 4.4% 4.0% 3.8% 4.1% 4.7% 4.6% 5.2% 3.9% 3.0% 3.1% 2.6% |
| Variance |
| Inflation |
| Year |
| 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.99% 0.57% 0.49% |
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Source of inflation data: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. SignalTrend is a newsletter service, not an investment advisor. None of the
information on our Site is intended as investment advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or as a recommendation,
endorsement, or sponsorship of any security, company, or fund. SignalTrend does not recommend short selling, the use of margin or any
other form of leverage. Please speak to your investment advisor to determine the suitability of any investment for your objectives and risk
tolerance before using any information, product or service found in this website. Carefully read any fund's prospectus before investing. The
inflation forecasts went live January 25, 2007. Results prior to 1/25/07 are the result of backtesting. Results after that date reflect the
performance of real time forecasts. Past performance of is not a guarantee of future results. Please read the following Terms of
Use/Disclaimer before using any part of this website in any way. Your use of this site or any of SignalTrend's products, services or
information constitutes your agreement to abide by SignalTrend's Terms of Use/Disclaimer as contained in the following link.
Source of inflation data: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. SignalTrend is a newsletter service, not an investment advisor. None of the
information on our Site is intended as investment advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or as a recommendation,
endorsement, or sponsorship of any security, company, or fund. SignalTrend does not recommend short selling, the use of margin or any
other form of leverage. Please speak to your investment advisor to determine the suitability of any investment for your objectives and risk
tolerance before using any information, product or service found in this website. Carefully read any fund's prospectus before investing. The
inflation forecasts went live January 25, 2007. Results prior to 1/25/07 are the result of backtesting. Results after that date reflect the
performance of real time forecasts. Past performance of is not a guarantee of future results. Please read the following Terms of
Use/Disclaimer before using any part of this website in any way. Your use of this site or any of SignalTrend's products, services or
information constitutes your agreement to abide by SignalTrend's Terms of Use/Disclaimer as contained in the following link.
| Inflation Forecast |
| Inflation Forecast |
| Inflation Forecast |
Decades Tested Forecast Model
SignalTrend's Inflation Forecast System was developed through years of research and thoroughly
backtested over many decades. The Forecasts generated in the backtest of SignalTrend's
computerized forecast system are provided in the tables below. The heart of this system is a
versatile model that identifies the probable course of inflation.
Numerous analytical equations were crafted to provide specific, objective, unemotional forecasts.
The average variance between actual and forecasted rates for 1990 - 2006 was 0.57%.
SignalTrend's Inflation Forecast System was developed through years of research and thoroughly
backtested over many decades. The Forecasts generated in the backtest of SignalTrend's
computerized forecast system are provided in the tables below. The heart of this system is a
versatile model that identifies the probable course of inflation.
Numerous analytical equations were crafted to provide specific, objective, unemotional forecasts.
The average variance between actual and forecasted rates for 1990 - 2006 was 0.57%.
| helping you... manage the future |
Inflation Forecast
You work hard for your money. And you have a future
to provide for. Is a reliable Inflation Forecast a part of
your financial plan? Is your income rising enough to
keep up with inflation? Or will Inflation destroy your
purchasing power?
Will double digit inflation return?
What will inflation do to the future value of your
retirement plan?
Both the stock market and the bond market may react
severely to threats of rising inflation. The central bank
often raises interest rates in an effort to keep inflation
in check. It even seems like the markets hold their
breath as they wait for the minutes of the Federal
Reserve Open Market Committee meeting.
You work hard for your money. And you have a future
to provide for. Is a reliable Inflation Forecast a part of
your financial plan? Is your income rising enough to
keep up with inflation? Or will Inflation destroy your
purchasing power?
Will double digit inflation return?
What will inflation do to the future value of your
retirement plan?
Both the stock market and the bond market may react
severely to threats of rising inflation. The central bank
often raises interest rates in an effort to keep inflation
in check. It even seems like the markets hold their
breath as they wait for the minutes of the Federal
Reserve Open Market Committee meeting.
Inflation is often given as the reason for major Federal
Reserve policy shifts... Shifts towards raising or lowering
key interest rates. Shifts that affect stocks, bonds & housing.
A credible, time tested Inflation Forecast is a necessary tool
for every investor. Inflation will affect the future. The informed
investor will not be caught unprepared! Return to this page
every month for an updated twelve month Inflation Forecast!
Reserve policy shifts... Shifts towards raising or lowering
key interest rates. Shifts that affect stocks, bonds & housing.
A credible, time tested Inflation Forecast is a necessary tool
for every investor. Inflation will affect the future. The informed
investor will not be caught unprepared! Return to this page
every month for an updated twelve month Inflation Forecast!
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| Inflation* |
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