Signals the Trend
SignalTrend
| Inflation Forecast |
Investment Newsletter
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1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
| 2% |
| 12% |
| 10% |
| 8% |
| 6% |
| 4% |
*Inflation and inflation forecasts are for the U. S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for all urban
consumers: All Items less energy.
consumers: All Items less energy.
| Inflation Chart: 1960 - 2006 |
| Year |
| 2.8% 2.5% 3.1% 1.8% 2.5% 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 2.0% 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% |
| 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 |
| 2.9% 2.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 1.8% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% |
| Variance |
| Inflation |
| Year |
Avg. Variance 1959-2006
Avg. Variance 1990-2006
Avg. Variance 2002-2006
Avg. Variance 1990-2006
Avg. Variance 2002-2006
| 0.4% 0.2% 0.76% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 0.4% 1.4% 2.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.1% 4.4% 3.0% 3.4% 0.8% |
| 1.7% 1.1% 1.4% 0.7% 1.1% 2.1% 1.1% 2.0% 2.9% 3.5% 4.1% 7.0% 4.6% 3.6% 3.8% 8.7% 10.0% 5.6% |
| 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 |
| 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 1.9% 3.4% 3.2% 4.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.4% 3.5% 8.2% 11.7% 6.6% 4.8% |
| Variance |
| Inflation |
| 1.6% 1.9% 1.3% 0.2% 1.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.4% 1.3% 0.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.7% |
| 5.1% 7.2% 9.8% 11.9% 9.9% 7.2% 3.6% 4.8% 3.8% 4.2% 3.2% 4.4% 5.0% 4.0% 4.4% 4.2% 2.6% 3.3% |
| 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 |
| 6.7% 9.1% 11.1% 11.7% 8.5% 4.2% 4.5% 4.4% 4.0% 3.8% 4.1% 4.7% 4.6% 5.2% 3.9% 3.0% 3.1% 2.6% |
| Variance |
| Inflation |
| Year |
| 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.99% 0.57% 0.49% |
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Source of inflation data: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. SignalTrend is a newsletter service, not an investment advisor. None of the
information on our Site is intended as investment advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or as a recommendation,
endorsement, or sponsorship of any security, company, or fund. SignalTrend does not recommend short selling, the use of margin or any
other form of leverage. Please speak to your investment advisor to determine the suitability of any investment for your objectives and risk
tolerance before using any information, product or service found in this website. Carefully read any fund's prospectus before investing. The
inflation forecasts went live January 25, 2007. Results prior to 1/25/07 are the result of backtesting. Results after that date reflect the
performance of real time forecasts. Past performance of is not a guarantee of future results. Please read the following Terms of
Use/Disclaimer before using any part of this website in any way. Your use of this site or any of SignalTrend's products, services or
information constitutes your agreement to abide by SignalTrend's Terms of Use/Disclaimer as contained in the following link.
Source of inflation data: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. SignalTrend is a newsletter service, not an investment advisor. None of the
information on our Site is intended as investment advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or as a recommendation,
endorsement, or sponsorship of any security, company, or fund. SignalTrend does not recommend short selling, the use of margin or any
other form of leverage. Please speak to your investment advisor to determine the suitability of any investment for your objectives and risk
tolerance before using any information, product or service found in this website. Carefully read any fund's prospectus before investing. The
inflation forecasts went live January 25, 2007. Results prior to 1/25/07 are the result of backtesting. Results after that date reflect the
performance of real time forecasts. Past performance of is not a guarantee of future results. Please read the following Terms of
Use/Disclaimer before using any part of this website in any way. Your use of this site or any of SignalTrend's products, services or
information constitutes your agreement to abide by SignalTrend's Terms of Use/Disclaimer as contained in the following link.
| Inflation Forecast |
| Inflation Forecast |
| Inflation Forecast |
Decades Tested Forecast Model
SignalTrend's Inflation Forecast System was developed through years of research and thoroughly
backtested over many decades. The Forecasts generated in the backtest of SignalTrend's
computerized forecast system are providedin the tables below. The heart of this system is a
versatile model that identifies the probable course of inflation.
Numerous analytical equations were crafted to provide specific, objective, unemotional forecasts.
The average variance between actual and forecasted rates for 1990 - 2006 was 0.57%.
SignalTrend's Inflation Forecast System was developed through years of research and thoroughly
backtested over many decades. The Forecasts generated in the backtest of SignalTrend's
computerized forecast system are providedin the tables below. The heart of this system is a
versatile model that identifies the probable course of inflation.
Numerous analytical equations were crafted to provide specific, objective, unemotional forecasts.
The average variance between actual and forecasted rates for 1990 - 2006 was 0.57%.
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